Monday, December 11, 2017

Looking for Lawyer

      Is any Miami lawyer willing to launch a lawsuit against Major League Baseball for consistently providing South Florida with second-rate Marlins owners who do not have the funds to pay for a Major League payroll? 
      Class action? Representing county that contracted with the team to build Marlins Park on the assumption that the Marlins would field a Major League team? 
       First MLB did this sleight of hand, getting rid of Expos, setting up the Nats -- and dumping a small-funded New York art dealer on the Marlins in order to cement the arrangement. 
       Then in 2017 MLB approved a new owner groaning with $400 million in debt to make purchase. His only stated goal is to cut payroll. How could MLB have approved this?

Sunday, December 10, 2017

Jeter colludes with Yankees -- no need for Russian middle man

         
Jeter can walk into any sports bar in Manhattan tonight and everyone will offer to buy him a drink -- Mr. Yankee has just given his main allegiance a huge Christmas present with Giancarlo Stanton -- setting up what may be a dynasty that will rule baseball for the next decade. I've just tweeted to Red Sox, Blue Jays, TB Rays and Orioles that they must demand MLB stop this outrageous collusion. This summer I re-read (for the first time in decades) The Year the Yankees Lost the Pennant. I'd forgotten the final twist: (Spoiler alert!) The devil is a Yankees fan.
       The people who are really to be blamed here are the leaders of the MLB. First, they wanted to get rid of the Montreal Expos and so they handed the Expos cash-poor owner the gift of the Marlins at a big discount. Fast forward to 2017 and MLB rejects local groups like Jeb Bush and others from new ownership -- people that would have to walk into Miami restaurants and look fans in the face. And instead has brought in a Naples investor (who's had to borrow a lot of money to do the deal) and Mr. Yankee (who's making sure his primary loyalty gets his help).
      One key detail -- within 24 hours of Stanton giving Marlins a list of four teams, Jeter had done a deal with Yankees -- the most important deal in Marlins history.  No complex negotiations, just here's your Christmas gift.  

Thursday, November 23, 2017

New Owners: Bean Counters

By John Dorschner
    Every day the new owners of the Marlins are revealing added details about how they view their purchase as an investment --not a quest for championships.
    The latest revelation comes that lead investor Bruce Sherman is still seeking $250 million more from investors, as first reported by fanragsports.com. And it's all put in money terms, with "payroll discipline" being a top priority.

    What's clear is that Sherman has bought into the Marlins with the idea that sports teams tend to soar in value over time.  If he just holds on to his investment, his money might double or quadruple in five or 10 years. Consider Loria paid $158 million in 2002 and sold for $1.2 billion this year.
    Among Sherman's top priorities: "Payroll discipline."  Investor talk for cutting salaries.
    Contrast that with Mark Walter buying the Dodgers in 2012 for $2.15 billion. The team president at their first meeting, according to Wall Street Journal, told the billionaire there two ways to build a winner -- high-priced free agents or developing young players. "Let's do both!" said Walter.
 

    With the Marlins all we hear is that Sherman has $400 million in debt that he has to pare down. Every move the owners have made so far seems focused on money, not victories. Heck, they even kept on Michael Hill, the guy responsible for innumerable bad drafts, trades and free-agent signings -- perhaps because he has a lengthy contract that they'd have to pay off to dump him.
    And still, the pitch to new investors starts with the promise that Sherman-Jeter will "significantly improve ticket sales." How? By dumping Stanton?
    Now, to be clear, Sherman inherited a mess from Loria.  I'm sure Loria knew he planned to sell the team and was looking to get another championship -- without caring about long-term costs. Stanton's ultra-long-term contract for $325 million -- back-loaded so that the team just starts to feel the hurt with the first big hit of $25 million in 2018 -- really never made sense for a team with poor attendance and awful TV contract.
    Then there's Chen -- due $12 million in 2018, and $20-plus million for the following two years. Tazawa gets $7 million next year, Ziegler $9 million, Prado and Volquez $13 million each.
    Marlins fans needed a deep-pocket owner, semi-insane, willing to spend big bucks for a championship -- and instead we got bean-counters just biding their time till the value of the club goes up.
    Note: I first saw the investor pitch at https://www.fanragsports.com/heyman-marlins-seeking-investors-with-project-citrus/

Thursday, May 11, 2017

Marlins pitchers pay scale

Loria upped the payroll this year, perhaps knowing it would be his last attempt to get to the playoffs. But how wisely did they spend the money? ERA is just one of many measures, of course, but just for a rough look, it's an indication there seems to be no correlation between pay and performance with this team. (Salaries from Herald report.)

NAMEERASALARY
Chen4.33    $15.5 mil
Volquez    4.71    $9 mil
Ziegler4.49        $7 mil
Ramos3.01    $6.5 mil
Koehler5.61    $5.75 mil
Tazawa 4.49   $5 mil
Phelps4.76   $4.6 mil
McGowan4.58   $1.75 mil
Straily4.03$552,000.00
Conley7.53$537,000.00
Urena1.69$535,000.00

Tuesday, October 25, 2016

2016 Batting -- Yellich Yes! Hech No!

Woody Allen said "80 percent of success is showing up."  Here's what Marlins batters did in 2016 -- total bases (singles, doubles, triples, HR) plus walks, plus hit batsman. Note how poorly Hechavarria does, compared to the injured Bour and injured Stanton -- And Dietrich was around for only part of the season.  And Prado was Mr. Steady.
TB  W  HB  TTB
Yelich 279 72 4 355
Prado 250 49 4 303
Ozuna 252 43 4 299
Stanton 202 50 4 256
Realmuto 218 28 5 251
Dietrich 149 32 24 205
Hech        158 33     1     192
Bour  133 38 0 171

Monday, August 15, 2016

A Gloomy Look at Marlins for Next Decade

    Giancarlo's injury isn't just a disaster for this year's play-off hopes -- it's an indication of the worsening disasters that await Marlins fans for the next decade. 
    As I have noted before, Stanton is often a wounded warrior. Last October, I wrote a post based on the Woody Allen comment:  "Eighty percent of success is showing up." Stanton was showing up for work only 75 percent of the time. Pujols in his first years, by contrast, was playing 95 percent of the time.
    Now that Stanton's once again done for the year, we can see that he's averaging 118 games for his six full seasons -- or 73 percent of games played. (All figures in this rant based on numbers from baseball-reference.com.)
    

            Stanton Contract + Attendance = 
                            Crushing Numbers

      But another figure is just as depressing.
    Here's the background: The Marlins have been playing exciting baseball up to this point, even after losing the league's batting average leader of 2015, Dee Gordon, for a lengthy stretch. In the middle of August, they're still in serious contention.
    And yet... yet ... they are drawing a mere 21,753 fans per game (through Aug. 14), down about 500 from the average of 22,220 at this point last year, when the team was pretty damn hopeless.

     Miami is just a crummy sports town, except when a championship is on the line, while people in places like Denver and Chicago get much larger, devoted attendance for all sports, even when the teams are dogs. (And I suspect the attendance is inflated with Chevron discounts, free senior Thursdays and those mid-week day camp games that are listed as 25,000-30,000 but those kids are getting in with group discounts meaning that Marlins average price of ticket-sold is much lower than many other teams.)
  

             Loria Counting on Attendance Boost 

     Here's why this attendance is particularly devastating: Loria, in his infinite wisdom, back-loaded Stanton's contract -- cheap years at the beginning, expensive at the end. Stanton received $6.5 million to start his $325 million contract, $9 million this year and $14.5 million next year. For the decade starting in 2018, he will be receiving $25 million to $32 million a year.
    Loria's theory is that the cheaper years at first would allow the team to build a solid contender around Stanton, creating excitement leading to soaring attendance that would pay for the expensive years later on.
    So not only is Stanton missing a ton of playing time, but attendance isn't soaring -- meaning that in the years ahead, the Marlins won't have the big bucks to build a team and may have to scrimp on other players in order to keep fulfilling the huge Stanton contract.
                 

             As long as I'm ranting... Latos et al.
 
            I should step back to say the organization has made some good moves. Prado is decent, though he doesn't provide the power that championship teams ordinarily have at third base. Dee Gordon had one great year, although long term, I'll still not sure how valuable he will be. I like Mattingly as a manager, with plenty of good ideas, such as finding lead-off hitters while Gordon was out.  BUT ... BUT ...
          Marlins are paying Wei-Yin Chen $12.5 million this year, $15.5 million next year. So far, he's 5-4, 4.99 and injured. 

          The minor league cupboard is close to bare. The big San Diego trade was pretty much a disaster, and I (along with many fans) don't have much confidence in the Marlins executives making the right decisions.
    Just one example: While the Marlins struggle to find starting pitching, they're off to Cincinnati, where on Tuesday they will be facing Anthony DeSclafani, 6-1, 3.11 ERA, earning $540,000 this year.
    You remember that December 2014 trade? We gave up DeSclafani and a minor leaguer for Mat Latos, who was such a disaster with his $9.4 million contract we dumped him to the Dodgers last year in mid-season.
    And who will be the Marlins pitcher facing DeSclafani? As of Monday morning, it's TBA.


Thursday, January 7, 2016

Mike Piazza -- What a Deal

       In case you're wondering, I looked it up:


       So basically, it was part of that sickening unloading that soured many fans. In the end we ended up with starter Preston Wilson. Zeile played 66 games in 1998 and was gone. Yarnall played two years with Yankees in 1999 and 2000.

       We got Wilson, we gave up Bonilla, Eisenreich, Johnson and Sheffield.  

       But I didn't look far enough. My buddy Sam adds this: "Those deals weren't a complete waste.  We traded Yarnall to the Yankees for Mike Lowell.  We traded Preston Wilson to the Rockies for Juan Pierre and Mike Hampton.  We later traded Hampton to the Braves for Tim Spooneybarger, who got hurt and never did much for the Marlins but at least he had a great name."